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97.5% of the time that a chapter is on probation, they do not close. So if a chapter is on probation and they are committed to turning things around (particularly if it's risk management, scholarship or finance related), telling everybody in advance could really just kill the chapter for no reason. When it's for numbers, I don't think people are ever surprised. It's clear that they have 8 or 12 members when the other chapters on their campus have 100.
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