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Honestly, I believe actives do know their chapters well enough to make decisions first round about who would mesh and who wouldn't, but I'm reminded of a quote allegedly attributed to a Stanford admissions officer, "We could have thrown out all the students we accepted, and chosen a new class from the ones rejected, and we would have a stronger class." If my chapter had to pick out another 60-70 women from all the ones who didn't get bids the first time, I imagine we'd still have a pledge class full of women who wanted to be there and would have fit in just fine.
When we had to cut ~700 of the 1000ish women going through recruitment after the first round, not every one of them was because they'd do better in some other chapter. As numbers continue to rise or stay high at many large institutions this reality becomes more true.
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